Now showing items 1-5 of 5

  • Complexity and anisotropy in host morphology make populations less susceptible to epidemic outbreaks 

    Perez-Reche, Francisco J.; Taraskin, Sergei N.; Costa, Luciano da F.; Neri, Franco M.; Gilligan, Christopher A. (The Royal Society, 2010-07)
    One of the challenges in epidemiology is to account for the complex morphological structure of hosts such as plant roots, crop fields, farms, cells, animal habitats and social networks, when the transmission of infection ...
  • The effect of heterogeneity on invasion in spatial epidemics: from theory to experimental evidence in a model system 

    Neri, Franco M.; Bates, Anne; Füchtbauer, Winnie S.; Pérez-Reche, Francisco J.; Taraskin, Sergei N.; Otten, Wilfred; Bailey, Douglas J.; Gilligan, Christopher A. (Public Library of Science, 2011-09)
    Heterogeneity in host populations is an important factor affecting the ability of a pathogen to invade, yet the quantitative investigation of its effects on epidemic spread is still an open problem. In this paper, we test ...
  • Epidemics in networks of spatially correlated three-dimensional root-branching structures 

    Handford, Thomas P.; Perez-Reche, Francisco J.; Taraskin, Sergei N.; Costa, Luciano da F.; Miazaki, Mauro; Neri, Franco M.; Gilligan, Christopher A. (The Royal Society, 2011-03)
    Using digitized images of the three-dimensional, branching structures for root systems of bean seedlings, together with analytical and numerical methods that map a common susceptible–infected–recovered (‘SIR’) epidemiological ...
  • Heterogeneity in susceptible–infected–removed (SIR) epidemics on lattices 

    Neri, Franco M.; Perez-Reche, Francisco J.; Taraskin, Sergei N.; Gilligan, Christopher A. (The Royal Society, 2011-02)
    The percolation paradigm is widely used in spatially explicit epidemic models where disease spreads between neighbouring hosts. It has been successful in identifying epidemic thresholds for invasion, separating non-invasive ...
  • Prediction of invasion from the early stage of an epidemic 

    Pérez-Reche, Francisco J.; Neri, Franco M.; Taraskin, Sergei N.; Gilligan, Christopher A. (The Royal Society, 2012-09)
    Predictability of undesired events is a question of great interest in many scientific disciplines including seismology, economy and epidemiology. Here, we focus on the predictability of invasion of a broad class of epidemics ...